FDE01Forward deployment
Handbook 10

Test assumptions with a small experiment

Make the result useful for choosing the next step.

On this pageChapter guideDiscussion questionRelated exercise

Chapter guide

Test the problem, willingness to change, data availability, value and operating conditions as well as technical feasibility. For each assumption, state what result would show it is wrong.

A test plan records the assumption, method, sample, criteria, cost, owner and action for each outcome. Include real constraints and difficult cases, rather than only easy tasks.

When comparing options, engineering explains feasibility and limitations while the business owner judges whether they are worth accepting. Show evidence and trade-offs; a demo does not replace the owner’s judgment.

Connect observations to decisions
Connect observations to decisionsRecord sources, times and owners. Results may change your assumptions; mark what still needs checking.FactWhat happened?AssumptionWhat needs testing?DecisionWho chooses what?OutcomeWhat changed?Review or revise the assumption
Record sources, times and owners. Results may change your assumptions; mark what still needs checking.Swipe to view the full diagram.

Discussion question

Exactly which decision changes if the experiment fails?

Related exercise

Follow the related lesson below and try its exercise. Use the linked template to record your judgment, evidence and open questions, then revise with the checklist. With a partner, check which parts of each other’s work need clarification.